Electricity Twelfth Five-Year: New Energy Electricity Prices Go Lower, Conventional Energy Prices Go Higher
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China's October CPI rose 4.4% to a 25-month high, and many institutions predict that the November CPI may hit a high in the year. The relevant person in charge of the State Electricity Regulatory Commission said in October 2008 that the CPI increase in August fell back to 4.9%, which created conditions for the price increase, and suggested that the electricity price should also be adjusted.
Now the country is controlling CPI to rise. On November 17, Premier Wen Jiabao of the State Council presided over the State Council executive meeting to analyze the current price situation, study and deploy policies and measures to stabilize the overall level of consumer prices and ensure the basic livelihood of the people. China Post Securities New Energy Industry Researcher told the "Securities Daily" reporter that since the situation is so, the NDRC will not raise the price of electricity recently, and now there is no window for price adjustment.
Electricity price reform and advancement
After eight years, the reform of the power system is extremely difficult. However, "promoting electricity price reform and improving the electricity price system" was once again written into the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" of electricity. In 2002, the State Council issued the "Power System Reform Plan", which clarified the direction of China's power system reform, that is, insisting on the separation of government and enterprise, separation of factories and networks, separation of main and auxiliary, separation of transmission and distribution, breaking monopoly, introducing competition, and establishing a socialist power market. economic system.
Recently, the National Development and Reform Commission has put forward the "Guiding Opinions on the Implementation of Ladder Electricity Prices for Residents' Living Electricity (Consultation Draft)" (hereinafter referred to as the "Draft for Comment"), and the National Development and Reform Commission has solicited opinions on the residential electricity price. The ladder price will be divided into 3 files, the basic power is 110 degrees or 140 degrees, and the price will exceed 2 points beyond the highest level. The more electricity you use, the more electricity you pay. As the electricity consumption of residents continues to increase, the first gear will be increased in the future.
The "Securities Daily" reporter called Huaneng International (6.32, 0.00, 0.00%) (600011) Securities Department. Relevant persons said: "There is no formal document issued after the "Draft for Comment", the ladder price is mainly for residents, power plants. Can not be sold directly to users, sold to residents through the grid company, is the sale of electricity prices, affecting us is the on-grid price, mentioned in the ladder price "Consultation Draft", there is a reason is to solve the power generation enterprises affected by coal prices The issue of affecting losses, the NDRC raised the feed-in tariff is good for us, but there is no movement at present. It is only a rumor that the price of the on-grid electricity price in seven provinces and cities has been raised. The price of electricity is controlled by the state. Since it is a state control, how to arrange it And other national policies, electricity price approval." A person from China Nuclear Power Technology Corporation also said: "As a single enterprise, there is no single pricing power."
New energy feed-in tariffs may go down
Mr. Zhou from the Development Research Center of the State Council said: "The price of electricity itself is very complicated. Adjusting the price of electricity involves all aspects of interests, and it is also very complicated. It is a gradual process." Zhang Jiangbing, Director of the Development Planning Department of the National Energy Administration, said that the future "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" During the period, China's seven key directions for energy development: optimizing the development of fossil energy, promoting the clean and efficient use of coal; accelerating the development of fossil energy, accelerating the construction of hydropower and nuclear power, actively and orderly developing wind power, solar energy and biomass energy; strengthening energy In the construction of pipeline network, from the geographical structure of energy, in the future, the eastern part of China will restrict the launch of thermal power, and will replace it with nuclear power development. During the "12th Five-Year Plan" period, Shanxi, Erdos (18.70, 0.00, 0.00%), Southwest, Mengdong, The five major comprehensive energy bases in Xinjiang, mainly in the construction of nuclear power in the central and eastern regions, form a “5+1†energy pattern.
During the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" period, the new energy on-grid electricity price may go lower, and the conventional energy on-grid electricity price may go higher. The researcher of China Post Securities New Energy Industry explained: “Regular energy on-grid price is higher or higher based on two considerations. First, resource prices such as coal and natural gas prices are rising, second, renewable energy accounts for an increase, wind power and solar subsidies. This part is deducted from the electricity price. Now it is 4 cents. It should not be enough to rise to 8 cents, or 1.5 cents. It is also conducive to the promotion of energy-saving facilities.
At present, there is no large-scale advancement of new energy sources. The main concern is that the impact on the power grid is large and the on-grid price is high. If the cost of new energy electricity is the same as the cost of thermal power, new energy will not have carbon emissions, and traditional energy will increase costs because of energy conservation and emission reduction. In contrast, new energy will be more 'economical', and now new energy is not launched on a large scale. Also due to concerns about this 'uneconomical'. â€
New energy will move from 'uneconomical' to 'economic'. For example, the power unit price of the network machine is lower, and the price of photovoltaic construction is lower. The cost of wind power is mainly the cost of purchasing wind power equipment when building a wind farm, which leads to an increase in electricity prices. If the cost is reduced, the investment recovery will be accelerated. Therefore, judging from the trend, the new energy on-grid price may go down.