Automotive and auto parts: the rational market has a significant seasonal effect
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The market performance in April is in full compliance with our expectations. Here we reiterate our view: First, the negative impact of the half of the purchase tax incentives shrinking, the small displacement of the third- and fourth-tier cities, urban-rural integration and rural areas as the main markets. After the demand for automobiles needs to be stabilized, it will be strengthened. Secondly, the popularity of the auto market at the end of last year has caused manufacturers to increase their production schedules, resulting in an increase in inventory in the case of stable market conditions. Again, the current share of economical and mid- to high-end passenger vehicles has increased. To a certain extent, it reflects the dual effect of the increase in the proportion of demand for second-time car purchases and the adjustment of the supply structure of the manufacturers.
The commercial vehicle market sold a total of 444,000 units in April, a year-on-year increase of 37.9%, with a total sales of 1.531 million units, a year-on-year increase of 52.4%.
Heavy truck sales data for April was in line with expectations. Here we reiterate our view: We expect heavy truck sales to exceed 500,000 units in the first half of 2010, and annual sales of more than 800,000 units will be a high probability event, an increase of about 30% year-on-year. It is still our most promising market for fine molecules this year. . This year's heavy truck market will show a trend of high and low, and the second quarter is expected to reach this year's peak, and the second quarter will exceed the first quarter. In terms of profit, the current business situation is still good. After the second quarter, due to the price of raw materials and external procurement components, the profit rate may decline.
It is recommended to focus on the heavy truck industry and corresponding core parts supporting enterprises that may exceed expectations in the second quarter. The current industry core parts and components factory is better than the main engine factory. Among the engine supporting plants, the best benefit and market is Weichai Power. Weichai Power will benefit from the growth of heavy truck industry, the increase in sales volume and profit caused by power upgrade, and the four-fold driving force for the increase in bargaining power caused by tight production capacity. Greatly outperformed the heavy truck industry. At the same time, we can pay attention to Foton Motor. The performance elasticity mainly comes from the heavy truck business. The core competence of the company's management, research and planning is very prominent, and it will resolve the short-term constraints of insufficient capacity. The company attaches great importance to the balanced development of various models of self-unloading, flat panel and tractor, and fully benefits from the high degree of heavy trucks this year.
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