2011 is an opportunity and challenge year for the abrasives industry. The implementation of the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†provides both opportunities and challenges for the abrasives industry. The continued implementation of the energy conservation and emission reduction policy will put a lot of pressure on the abrasive smelting enterprises in the abrasives industry, but from the current market, the impact of abrasive prices is not significant. In 2011, the abrasive market will be in an integrated adjustment period. It is expected that the product price in the first half of the year will have a complicated adjustment period, and it will improve in the second half of the year and gradually stabilize.
 In 2011, the state's support for the development of emerging industries also brought great opportunities for the development of the abrasives industry, especially for the super-hard materials. With the continuous improvement of domestic production technology, diamond is widely used in place of ordinary abrasives in grinding discs and grinding wheels. Therefore, the market for the abrasives industry in 2011 will be in a longer period of integration and adjustment.
Abrasives export PK RMB appreciation In 2010, although China's machine tool exports have increased substantially, the structure of export products is not reasonable, and low-end resources and high-energy products account for a large proportion. The structure of export products needs further optimization. China Machine Tool Industry Association statistics show that in 2010 China's machine tool exports totaled 7.03 billion US dollars, an increase of 48.4%, of which metal processing machine tool exports 1.85 billion US dollars, an increase of 31.3%, its growth rate is significantly lower than the increase of machine tool products speed. Among the export products, the export volume of abrasives continued to grow at a high rate of US$1.53 billion, up 100% year-on-year. The cutting tools and tools became the two largest types of products exported by the machine tool industry, accounting for 44.6 of the export value of machine tool products. %. Among these two types of products, resource-based and high-energy-consuming products such as low-grade abrasives and knives account for a large proportion, while the proportion of exports of machine tools with relatively high added value is getting smaller and smaller, accounting for only 26.3%, compared with 2009. The year-on-year decrease was 3.4 percentage points, and the unreasonable structure of export products has not changed. The appreciation of the renminbi in 2010 has brought adverse effects to China's foreign trade export enterprises, and the overall export situation of abrasives and abrasive products is not optimistic. In 2011, under the influence of factors such as the “rebalancing†of the global economy, the pressure for RMB appreciation has increased. According to various angles, the actual appreciation pressure of RMB in 2011 was 7.8%. The appreciation of the renminbi is not good for the export of abrasive products, but with the gradual recovery of the international economy in 2011, the demand for abrasives in the international market will increase, and the international market will change to some extent. For the abrasives companies that are mainly engaged in the domestic market, the appreciation of the renminbi has little effect. However, for the domestic market, more foreign trade enterprises may be turned to domestic sales, which will intensify competition in the domestic abrasives market.
Abrasives product prices PK raw material prices In 2010, the increase in the price of abrasives and raw materials drove the soaring prices of abrasives. In 2011, faced with the domestic raw material market, the price of abrasives and abrasive products will usher in the turmoil and adjustment of the new year. From the beginning of the year, the raw materials of abrasives, such as cotton and resin, have been rising. It is expected that the prices of abrasives and abrasive products will continue to be complicated in 2011. It is estimated that prices will change greatly in the first half of the year, and market prices will stabilize in the second half of the year. In 2010, the price increase of abrasive abrasive products, the maximum price increase of coated abrasives, the highest price increase, from the 2011 price of cotton and resin coated with abrasive materials, coated abrasives in 2011 The price is still high and hard to retreat. The price fluctuations will be larger in the first half of the year and will be relatively stable in the second half of the year. In 2010, the fixed abrasives did not increase much, and the products such as grinding wheels and cutting blades rose by 6%~10%. The cost pressure of the fixed abrasives in 2011 will rise, and the change of raw material prices will become the main change of its prices. factor. Abrasive products are expected to stabilize under changes in thermal coal prices.
Abrasives product price PK labor costs In 2011, with the recovery of the domestic economic situation, the country's general labor shortage, the abrasives industry is no exception. Faced with the shortage of labor in the domestic market, the labor cost of abrasives and abrasives enterprises has also increased greatly. According to Luo Baihui, a member of the association, the current employment problems in the industry have become more prominent. The wages of general workers and skilled workers have risen considerably after the year. This has undoubtedly increased the cost of abrasives manufacturers and promoted abrasive products. Price increase. In 2011, the employment problem of abrasives and abrasives enterprises was presented. The substantial increase in the wages of first-line technical workers will bring more severe challenges to the price of abrasives and abrasive products.
Abrasives products prices PK supply and demand market At present, China's abrasives products market is in a market of oversupply. In 2011, with the recovery and development of the domestic economy, many regions of abrasives and abrasives enterprises new plant and delivery equipment, is expected In 2011, the overall market for abrasives and abrasive products will also become a situation of oversupply. 2011, the corundum market is facing overcapacity problems, the construction of corundum production enterprises in Shanxi and Henan, and the new production lines of many regional enterprises, corundum enterprises face more severe market competition, product prices should be reduced, but Due to the high cost, the decline will not be too large. From the perspective of domestic silicon carbide market demand, the development of silicon carbide in 2011 is good. Coupled with the development of the national photovoltaic industry to bring broad market prospects for silicon carbide, the capacity of silicon carbide in the first half of 2011 is relatively optimistic, the second half remains to be seen, the production of green silicon carbide micropowder in 2011 will be cautiously optimistic attitude. With the continuous improvement of production scale and product quality of domestic super-hard enterprises, the price of diamonds has become cheaper and cheaper, and the price of the cheapest diamond products on the market has dropped to about 0.2 yuan/carat. At present, the production capacity of domestic super-hard materials enterprises can not meet domestic demand, and the market of super-hard materials is broad. It is estimated that the price of diamonds in 2011 will maintain a narrow range of fluctuations, and prices will not change much. From the above analysis, in 2011, the abrasives and abrasives market will continue to maintain a complex situation. Abrasives and abrasives are in the market transition period. Due to the increase of domestic inflation pressure, raw materials and labor costs, the price of products will not fall too much. In the first half of the year, the price of the product may remain high and complicated for quite some time. The price trend in the second half of the year will tend to improve and gradually stabilize. In 2011, the price of abrasive products will be in the market consolidation period.
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