alert! Behind the high import and export deficit data of machine tools
July 04 01:07:47, 2023
“Either the output value or the profit, the growth rate of more than 20% is not slow. But why is there a strong sense of crisis in the industry?†Recently, at the press conference of China International Machine Tool Exhibition, China Machinery Industry Union Cai Weici, vice president of the association, said: "Since entering the new century, China's machinery industry has achieved sustained high-speed growth, but this situation has undergone relatively large changes in 2011. Its main performance is that the growth rate has dropped significantly, and the growth rate of efficiency has dropped. Therefore, compared with the higher growth rate in previous years, the decline in growth rate last year, especially the sharp decline in profit growth, still gives a strong impact.†Behind the data, in Cai Weici’s view, the machinery industry has a long-term After the rapid growth, it is a good thing that the growth rate has dropped. "This is undoubtedly a signal to the whole industry, but also gave us a pair of sobering agents. That is: with the establishment of the scientific concept of development, the period of rapid growth of China's economic aggregate has gradually passed, and must adapt to market demand in the future. In the Chinese machinery industry, the machine tool industry is in a special position in the “master machine†industry, and most of its customers are from various types of enterprises in the machinery industry; Its level is also of special importance to the upgrading of all walks of life in the machinery industry. Therefore, the development of the machine tool industry depends not only on the overall development of China's machinery industry, but also on the healthy development of the entire industry. Therefore, compared with the situation of the Chinese machinery industry, the situation of the machine tool industry last year and the contradictions faced are more prominent. In the ten years of the “10th Five-Year Plan†and the “Eleventh Five-Year Planâ€, China's machine tool industry has achieved sustained and ultra-high-speed development. Until the first half of 2011, demand is still very strong. Most machine tool companies are in a state of prosperity. Among them. However, since the second half of last year, demand growth has slowed down markedly, new orders have fallen sharply, economic benefits have gradually become severe, and profit margins have continued to decline. Despite the rapid growth in the first half of the year, the growth rate of China's machine tool industry's total output value last year fell from nearly 39% at the beginning of the year to 32.5% at the end of the year; the profit growth rate dropped from 57.5% at the beginning of the year to 29.8 at the end of the year. %. It can be seen that the situation of the Chinese machine tool industry changed very sharply last year. In this context, after the second half of 2011, many domestic machine tool companies began to worry about orders, and a few machine tool companies have suffered losses. This was rare before the first half of 2011. If only from this perspective, it seems that insufficient demand is the main contradiction at present. But another set of data tells us that the cooling of the demand situation is not the only problem. The problem is that the Chinese machine tool industry itself is not working. That is: the product structure of the Chinese machine tool industry does not meet the needs of users. According to Cai Weici, the import value of China's machine tool industry in 2011 was as high as 20.7 billion US dollars. Compared with exports of 7.3 billion US dollars, the import and export deficit is as high as 13.4 billion US dollars. Therefore, he came to the conclusion that the demand for machine tool products in China is objective, but domestic machine tool companies cannot fully satisfy it. If the basic balance of imports and exports can be achieved, the Chinese machine tool industry can increase by 13.4 billion last year. Sales of US dollars (equivalent to nearly RMB 100 billion). Attacking the high-end foundation "I feel very embarrassed by such a huge deficit data. But I think we should have a sense of crisis." Cai Weici stressed that in 2011, the average export price of CNC machine tools in China was only 33,000 US dollars per Taiwan. The unit price is 219,000 US dollars / Taiwan, and the export unit price is only 15% of the import price. "The two data are combined and clearly tell us that the technical level of China's machinery industry is still far from the international advanced level." He said that China's machine tool industry is facing dramatic changes in market demand, China's machinery industry And the scientific development of the entire national economy is changing the status quo of "quantity" and "quality" in the past for quite a long time. In the future, the machine tool industry as the “working machine†will be put forward with higher and higher level and quality requirements. “High-end and high-tech foundation†has become the main direction of structural adjustment in the future of China's machine tool industry. If the machine tool industry is not actively responding, it will not be possible. Avoid falling into the dilemma of continuous decline. However, dialectically, the huge import and export deficit of the machine tool industry indicates that the demand for high-end machine tool products in China exists objectively and will continue to grow rapidly. If the Chinese machine tool industry can convert excess low-end production capacity into “high-end†that meets user needs. "Capacity, especially in the development of basic products such as functional components and numerical control systems, to shorten the gap, the competitiveness of China's machine tool industry will be significantly improved, and the international status of China's machine tool industry will certainly be further improved. Cai Weici also pointed out that the so-called "high-end" does not only refer to the high parameters of the host performance, but also should include the high quality of the product. Because many users prefer imported products, the main reason is that the performance of domestic products is not up to date, but the performance of domestic machine tools is unstable and the quality is not guaranteed. Although the purchase of domestic machine tools is much cheaper, the use of domestic high-end machine tools is scared, and even the failure of the user will not be worth the loss. In the quality accidents of domestic high-end machine tools, the huge gap between basic components, functional components and numerical control systems is a major cause, and special efforts are needed to speed up the improvement. In addition, the so-called "high-end" is not limited to tangible products, but should also include the ability to provide users with "complete solutions." Chinese machine tool enterprises must be closer to users, eager for users, in-depth study of user processes, and strive to provide users with a variety of personalized services quickly and well. "Currently, industry companies can only accelerate the structural adjustment and upgrading of the industry more actively and consciously, accelerate the transformation of development mode, and spend more energy on the improvement of varieties, quality and efficiency to adapt to changes in customer demand." Cai Weici said that many countries now advocate the return of manufacturing, which shows that the future development prospects of the manufacturing industry are still very good, and he expects that the total output value and sales revenue of China's machinery industry in 2012 is expected to increase by about 18% over the previous year. It is expected to increase by about 12% over the previous year. To the machine tool industry, it will be slightly lower than 18%. "Can that disclose the specific data?" the reporter asked. "You are very meticulous, but I can only say that it will be lower, and the specific number is, of course, between 10% and 18%." Apparently, Cai Weici would play Taiji very much, and the reporter asked for no results.
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