International machine tool production and sales suffered an avalanche decline
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The machine tool powerhouse is sorrowful. The German Machine Tool Association recently announced that it expects German machine tool production to drop by 40% this year. After a record five-year period, the German machine tool output is expected to return to 1999 levels in 2009.
The German Machine Tool Association Chairman Welk pointed out: "In the past two years, the experience of the German machine tool industry can only be described by special circumstances." The blind confidence that the market demand will continue to grow has led to an increase in the international demand for manufacturing. To a record level. Many large international consumer companies have made the decision to lock up market share ahead of time by expanding production capacity on a large scale.
The German experience is not a case. On August 10th, the American Manufacturing Technology Association (AMT) and the American Machine Tool Distributors Association (AMTDA) released statistics for the first half of the year. In the first half of this year, the cumulative consumption of machine tools in the United States was 759 million US dollars, down 70.1% from the same period in 2008. In June, the US machine tool production was 917 units, an increase of 58 units from the previous month; the total consumption was 136 million US dollars, an increase of 22% from the previous month, but a year-on-year decrease of 69.2%. Taking metal cutting machine tools as an example, the consumption of metal cutting machine tools in June was US$102 million, up 9.5% from the previous month, but down 71.4% year-on-year.
The Japan Machine Tool Industry Association (JMTBA) has also released relevant statistics. In July 2009, Japanese machine tool orders fell 72.2% year-on-year, down 1.5% from the previous month. Among them, domestic orders fell by 72.7%, and foreign orders fell by 71.9%.
According to the research department of the Italian Machine Tool, Robotics and Automation Manufacturers Association (UCIMU-SISTEMIPERPRODURRE), compared with the same period last year, in the first half of 2009, Italian machine tool orders fell by 56.3% year-on-year. In the second quarter, the country's machine tool orders fell by 63.1%, while domestic orders fell by 62% and foreign orders fell by 64%.
Germany, the United States, Japan, and Italy are among the top eight power tools in the world.
Emerging market demand shrinks Emerging markets are also facing the dilemma of shrinking demand.
According to the latest news from the Indian Machine Tool Association, after five consecutive years of 30% market growth, the Indian machine tool industry is facing a decline in demand due to a sharp drop in customer demand. In this challenge, Indian machine tool production maintained a flat growth in 2007 compared to 2007, of which 86% were gold cutting machines and the rest were metal forming machines.
The ever-evolving manufacturing industry has pushed India to the position of the ninth largest machine tool consumer market in 2007. The growth and demand of new industries has boosted demand for large machine tools and has driven up imports. In the case of metalworking machines, imported goods account for 75% of the entire Indian market.
CNC machine tools account for 65% of all machine tool sales in India. In the entire industry, lathes, machining centers, special machine tools, presses and grinding machines accounted for 80% of all machine tool production in India in 2008.
Wu Bolin, executive vice president of the China Machine Tool Industry Association, recently inspected the machine tools market in Poland, the Czech Republic and Russia. He said: "The Russian machine tool industry is most affected by the financial crisis. Now many factories are not completely shut down, but only work one week. In 2 to 3 days, the production capacity has dropped by more than 50%. What's more, individual factories have been shut down for 2 to 3 months."
The TBS plant in St. Petersburg, Russia, was once the famous Leningrad machine tool factory in the Soviet era, producing large and heavy-duty machine tools. Affected by the financial crisis, fewer users, less work, more than 400 employees, and now only 10 people. On the one hand, it undertakes and produces some equipment needed by the Russian railway industry, such as not falling the wheel to the lathe, and also provides some machine tools for the military, metallurgical industry, and aircraft industry. On the other hand, it is also engaged in the transformation
According to estimates by the Czech Machine Tool Association, machine tool production in the Czech Republic may fall by about 10% in 2009.
Directly affecting China's exports The international market's depression directly hits the export of China's machine tools.
According to the statistics released by the customs, the cumulative export value of China's machine tool industry from January to June this year was 2.13 billion US dollars, a year-on-year decrease of 36.2%.
In terms of exports, the demand for economically developed bodies such as Europe, the United States and Japan, which are the main export markets for machine tools in China, has fallen sharply. Affected by the international financial crisis, the machine tools market in India, Brazil and Russia, which rose faster last year, also fell at a double-digit rate. In the first half of the year, China's machine tool exports increased by -31.3%, while the cumulative increase of machine tool exports in the same period last year was 37.1%.
Although the international machine tool market as a whole is shrinking, there are also some bright spots. This year, the import and export of large and heavy-duty machine tools in China has grown rapidly. In the first half of the year, CNC milling machines, CNC grinding machines and CNC gear processing machines increased by more than 50% year-on-year. The average unit price of large machine tool exports has doubled, and the export performance of heavy machine tools outperforms other products.
At the same time, it is not difficult to see the potential market opportunities in the analysis of the Eastern European market: First, the financial crisis has less impact on Poland because 70% of the machine tools are imported. This year, the Polish economy can grow by 1%, which is better than that of Western European countries. Secondly, the Czech Republic, which has a good foundation in the machine tool industry, has a relatively good quality of machine tool technology and 70% of its machine tools are exported. Despite the impact of the financial crisis, the current production of the Czech machine tool industry is still relatively normal. They have extensive trade cooperation with China and have strong desire to seize the domestic machine tool market. It is a competitor worthy of attention in China; followed by Russia. Due to the financial crisis, the decline of the Russian machine tool industry is more serious, and it will take some time to recover. However, the Russian government has already noticed that the problem is serious. It has formulated a five-year revitalization plan and started to implement it. This plan is also worthy of attention in China's machine tool industry.
In addition, the varieties of machine tools in Eastern European countries are not very complete, and the supporting parts are also lacking. However, after years of rapid development, China's machine tool industry has reached a considerable scale, with complete product categories and certain technical level, especially for large and heavy machine tools. More potential. In addition, China's CNC system, ball screw, cutting tools and other ancillary products, as long as the product quality after-sales service problems are solved, there is great potential for export to these countries. It is understood that well-known machine tool enterprises in these countries, such as Czech SKODA, TOSVarnsdorf, Poland's AVIA and other companies have established wholly-owned or joint ventures in China, may wish to use these existing cooperation channels to gradually realize the diversification of China's machine tool market.